Invest Offshore

Tag: Speculation

  • End of the bear market in gold?

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    Aaron
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    Q: Do you use fractal geometry? Could you update us on the wave pattern recognition you’re looking for to verify the end of the bear market in gold? Do you look at volume, momentum indicators, gaps, moving averages, etc.? A: I look at all of that, but none of it is controlling. Wave pattern recognition…

  • Short Selling Maven Strikes Again

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    Aaron
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    Q: Your short selling maven activity has, on at least 3 occasions, made the front pages of the North American financial press. Twice to the front page of Barrons, the Wall Street Journal Company’s weekly. Do you expect to get any press now and how much of what is in the movie “The Big Short”…

  • Predicting Market Price Gaps

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    Aaron
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    Q: Do all market price gaps get filled? A: That is the tendency, yes. Q: Then that information can be useful in predicting future price action? Is this something you use to call the low in the gold market? If so, how do you use it? A: Price gaps indicate an imbalance of buy and…

  • The Nature of Market Speculation

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    Aaron
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    Q: Are you turned off by the zero sum and negative nature of market speculation? Especially short selling? A: No. It is only a zero sum game for the speculators involved. For the market economy, it is a win win. The price signals sent by the changes caused by the nature of market speculation are…

  • Five-to-One Advantage in Market Speculation

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    Aaron
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    Q: Can I get a five-to-one advantage over 98% of market players using the Fixed System? A: Yes. That’s the minimum. It’s possible to get more as your skill improves. Q: Why do you say the advantage is at minimum five to one? What’s your basis for saying that? A: I once took a week-long…

  • Short Selling vs Casino Gambling

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    Aaron
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    Q: When a proposal for short selling is presented, a frequent objection is that profit potential is limited in that the shares can only go down to zero but losses are potentially infinite since there is no limit, in theory, to how high the stock price can go. How do you answer such an objection?…

  • Last leg down for Gold

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    Aaron
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    Q: Are we now in the last leg down for gold? You indicated in your blog post on February 12, 2016, that we were in the last rally but had one more down leg to go. Are we in that down leg now? A: Most likely yes. It certainly feels like it. We will know…

  • Is Tesla Motors CEO Elon Musk a Hero?

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    Aaron
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    Q: Is Elon Musk a hero? The mind behind Tesla Motors (TSLA), SolarCity (SCTY), and SpaceX — founded in 2002 by Tesla Motors and not yet public — certainly is to early investors. Will he be their hero tomorrow? A: It’s unlikely. Musk has done a brilliant job as stock promoter. The rest is still…

  • Amazon AMZN on the Fixed System Short List #2

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    Aaron
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    Q: Does Amazon (AMZN) qualify for the Fixed System Short List No. 2? A: Yes, it qualifies but it isn’t on just yet. I’m currently reviewing a lot of options and waiting for the completion of a countertrend bear market rally. Q: Do you see any accounting issues with Amazon? A: No more than all…