Tag: gold bullion
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US Gold Market Infographic
The US Gold Market is best known as the home of gold futures trading on the COMEX in New York. The COMEX has a literal monopoly on gold futures trading volumes worldwide, but very little physical gold is actually exchanged between COMEX trading participants, and gold inventories maintained in COMEX vaults in New York are…
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Gold bullion and gold shares have had a nice rally
Gold bullion and gold shares have had a nice rally over the last four months. The entire precious metals market has the general shares market as well. A break in the general shares market is one of the four criteria for calling the low in the bear market. At this point, the general shares market…
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End of the bear market in gold?
Q: Do you use fractal geometry? Could you update us on the wave pattern recognition you’re looking for to verify the end of the bear market in gold? Do you look at volume, momentum indicators, gaps, moving averages, etc.? A: I look at all of that, but none of it is controlling. Wave pattern recognition…
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Why Gold Bullion and Gold Shares Diverge
Q: Why do price and wave pattern often diverge between gold bullion and gold shares? A: Different market participants trade in the gold bullion verses the shares. They respond differently to market conditions based on different needs, perceptions, and subjective judgements. In gold mining shares, there is no central bank intervention. In the bullion market,…
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Gold Mining Shares and Bullion Diverge
It has never been the case that all gold mining shares make their lows at the same time. Some do so earlier and some later. It may be that ABX, the world’s largest gold miner, has already made its low. Time will tell. I am expecting one more low and a divergence between the bullion…
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Forecasting the Low in the Gold Market
Q: Does the recent terrorist attack in Paris and the public reaction have any bearing on your calling the low in the gold market? A: The event does not but the reaction confirms my view that we have not yet seen the low. We have had new lows in both the bullion and the gold…
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Gold: Primed for Recovery
NEW YORK (November 13, 2015) – Jeffrey Nichols, Senior Economic Advisor to Rosland Capital, had the following comments today: Despite increasingly strong supply/demand fundamentals, gold prices have continued to tread water – more or less within a narrow $100 range – having hit overhead resistance a few weeks ago near $1175 and now testing support…
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Market Timing the Low in Gold
From a purely mental perspective it’s a snap. We know when the low will occur and the gold market will turn from a bear to a bull. It will happen when most market participants expect a higher future price than the then spot price plus the cost to carry. Ludwig von Mises, in Human Action,…
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Fractional Reserve Gold Bullion
Q: A roughly 20-year bear market in gold and gold mining shares ended approximately with 9/11. What role, if any, did 9/11 play in this major market turn? A: First of all, my view is that markets are made by human reaction to events. The reaction is a subjective judgement. Objective events do not move…