Category: Precious Metals
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Gold and silver are known; all else is credit
As J. P. Morgan famously said: Gold and silver are known; all else is credit. The gold price is fixed twice each business day in London. It’s called the London AM or PM Fix. Many contracts reference the London Fix to set a price for future gold delivery. It may be that the bullion dealers…
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Are Markets Fixed?
Are global markets fixed? They could be, but maybe not the way that you think. I considered titling this paper “How I Turned Ten Thousand into Five and a Half Million in Less Than a Year Trading Gold Futures and Options on Gold Shares.” But I actually started with twenty thousand, of which I lost…
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Gold Market Speculation
Q: I understand why you don’t make predictions: it is unnecessary and ineffective. You only need to know that the low for the gold market happened when it happens. And, you don’t want to divide your attention unnecessarily as that decreases the quality of your analysis. These are all very good reasons. However, you have…
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Criteria for calling the low in gold
Q: How do divergences relate to the four criteria for calling the low in gold? A: They don’t make the top four list but they’re helpful for refining the analysis. Take a look at bigcharts.marketwatch.com. Junior silver mining shares represented by this index have taken a huge plunge over the last 15 trading days. Silver…
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Gold investment sentiment indicators
Q: Thank you for the explanation of the criteria for inclusion in the short list. You have previously indicated four criteria for calling the low in the gold market. Could we review and expand upon that. Is gold investment a bad idea? You have also indicated that there are three level of understanding this: mental,…
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Why Gold Bullion and Gold Shares Diverge
Q: Why do price and wave pattern often diverge between gold bullion and gold shares? A: Different market participants trade in the gold bullion verses the shares. They respond differently to market conditions based on different needs, perceptions, and subjective judgements. In gold mining shares, there is no central bank intervention. In the bullion market,…
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Gold Mining Shares and Bullion Diverge
It has never been the case that all gold mining shares make their lows at the same time. Some do so earlier and some later. It may be that ABX, the world’s largest gold miner, has already made its low. Time will tell. I am expecting one more low and a divergence between the bullion…
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Bull Market Expectation
Q: Do you have an expectation of what will happen over the next few years in the gold market? A: Yes. I expect that after the low is in that we will have a three to five year bull market with prices dramatically higher than they are now. I have confidence in that expectation in…
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Market Timing and Martin Armstrong
Q: You seem to have a healthy respect for Martin Armstrong’s work. He’s made some spectacularly correct predictions. What is his current position on the gold market, and do you agree with him? A: We seem to get the same results for different reasons. He works with cycles and compiled a database and developed the…