Category: Precious Metals
-
Gold Market Speculation
Q: I understand why you don’t make predictions: it is unnecessary and ineffective. You only need to know that the low for the gold market happened when it happens. And, you don’t want to divide your attention unnecessarily as that decreases the quality of your analysis. These are all very good reasons. However, you have…
-
Criteria for calling the low in gold
Q: How do divergences relate to the four criteria for calling the low in gold? A: They don’t make the top four list but they’re helpful for refining the analysis. Take a look at bigcharts.marketwatch.com. Junior silver mining shares represented by this index have taken a huge plunge over the last 15 trading days. Silver…
-
Gold investment sentiment indicators
Q: Thank you for the explanation of the criteria for inclusion in the short list. You have previously indicated four criteria for calling the low in the gold market. Could we review and expand upon that. Is gold investment a bad idea? You have also indicated that there are three level of understanding this: mental,…
-
Why Gold Bullion and Gold Shares Diverge
Q: Why do price and wave pattern often diverge between gold bullion and gold shares? A: Different market participants trade in the gold bullion verses the shares. They respond differently to market conditions based on different needs, perceptions, and subjective judgements. In gold mining shares, there is no central bank intervention. In the bullion market,…
-
Gold Mining Shares and Bullion Diverge
It has never been the case that all gold mining shares make their lows at the same time. Some do so earlier and some later. It may be that ABX, the world’s largest gold miner, has already made its low. Time will tell. I am expecting one more low and a divergence between the bullion…
-
Bull Market Expectation
Q: Do you have an expectation of what will happen over the next few years in the gold market? A: Yes. I expect that after the low is in that we will have a three to five year bull market with prices dramatically higher than they are now. I have confidence in that expectation in…
-
Market Timing and Martin Armstrong
Q: You seem to have a healthy respect for Martin Armstrong’s work. He’s made some spectacularly correct predictions. What is his current position on the gold market, and do you agree with him? A: We seem to get the same results for different reasons. He works with cycles and compiled a database and developed the…
-
Forecasting the Low in the Gold Market
Q: Does the recent terrorist attack in Paris and the public reaction have any bearing on your calling the low in the gold market? A: The event does not but the reaction confirms my view that we have not yet seen the low. We have had new lows in both the bullion and the gold…
-
Gold: Primed for Recovery
NEW YORK (November 13, 2015) – Jeffrey Nichols, Senior Economic Advisor to Rosland Capital, had the following comments today: Despite increasingly strong supply/demand fundamentals, gold prices have continued to tread water – more or less within a narrow $100 range – having hit overhead resistance a few weeks ago near $1175 and now testing support…