Category: Futures, Options and Commodities
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Daly Gold Report
DECEMBER GOLD FINISHES SESSION UP $4.90 AND SETTLES AT $1725.10 FOR THE WEEK This week the December Gold Futures contract covered a vast $86.60 trading range. On Monday November 14th we traded as high as $1797.60 and on Thursday November 17th we traded as low as $1711.00 the volatility and choppy market conditions continue to…
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Commodities serving as Diversification
When a portion of your portfolio is diversified into commodities on days like today there should be no need to panic. Crude traded to a nine month low today dragging prices very close the $80/barrel mark. It’s been painful but we highly doubt a 20% reduction is justified. The pundits say it is demand destruction…
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Commodity Update
As of this post September Crude is lower by 1.4% but prices did hold above the 9 day MA. $94.50 in this contract will need to hold on a closing basis for me to maintain my bullishness. Natural gas has appreciated nearly 13% in the last two weeks and at this juncture we are advising…
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Bear vs. Bull
Commodity traders do not pick a side as markets can be traded from both sides when you have wild swings like we’re currently experiencing. Inside day in Crude with August ending 1.7% higher just below the 40 day MA. We suggest long exposure with a target of $102/barrel in the coming weeks. Natural gas gained…
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Commodity Update
Crude failed to close positive but was able to post a new high. Momentum has started to shift bullish again and on a close above the 18 day MA at $101 look for more buying to appear. A bearish AGA report contributed to natural gas being down on the day but losses were pared with…
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Measuring Opportunity with the Strength of Trend Index
Investors often fail to evaluate investment results in the context of the market environment. No two investment years are equal; some calendar years provide greater opportunity to make money in certain investments than others. When judging investment results, it is important to consider the performance of an investment relative to market activity. Long-only stock investments…
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The Bull Market In Commodities Remains Intact
The weakness in commodities over the last month was merely the market’s way of shaking weak hands out of the market. Fundamentally nothing changes, nor does the trend of spot commodity prices. Everyone is obsessed with watching the behavior of commodity futures markets but these are so subject to speculation that all they really tell…
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Zero Sum Game
The point about zero sum game is that there are position holders on both sides of the trade, meaning that for every buyer (long position holder), there is an opposite seller (short position holder). A gain or profit for one participant represents a loss for the opposite participant. Forex (foreign exchange) and futures markets are…
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The Advantage of Trading Systems
People are slow to change. People tend to remain skeptical about new technology simply because they are unfamiliar with it and because it is not widely accepted by the public. Interestingly enough, the need for public acceptance is more of a driving factor in validating new technology than the actual merits of the technology itself.…