Category: Futures, Options and Commodities
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Criteria for calling the low in gold
Q: How do divergences relate to the four criteria for calling the low in gold? A: They don’t make the top four list but they’re helpful for refining the analysis. Take a look at bigcharts.marketwatch.com. Junior silver mining shares represented by this index have taken a huge plunge over the last 15 trading days. Silver…
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Fixed System for Option Trading
Q: What is the Fixed System? A: The Fixed System is the application of economic law in a manner consistent with the scientific method to profit from price changes. Q: What do you mean by scientific method? A: Using observation to establish facts and then logic to reach useful conclusions that follow from the factually…
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Mathematical advantage trading options
Q: You make a big point of saying that you don’t predict the future and that it’s easier to answer the true false question about whether today is the low in the gold market than it is to say which of next year’s 365 days will be the low. I don’t see that you have…
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Mathematical advantage in approach to trading
Q: Is there any mathematical advantage you have with your approach to trading? A: Mathematics is a system of logic. It is not possible to arrive at a valid conclusion if you use fallacious logic. Additionally, your conclusion may be valid, in that it follows from the premises stated, but never the less false because…
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Corruption in the USA government
Q: I am appalled by the amount of corruption in the USA government. Does this always happen when an empire is in its last days? And, how does it affect your trading strategy going forward? A: Good questions. Keep in mind a basic economic law: all value is subjective. It is never the corruption that…
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Man, Economy, and Spiritual State
Q: What should I tell a client who is uncomfortable with speculation and would rather buy and renovate real estate when the yield is over ten percent and sell when it’s under five percent? A: That is a very good question. It raises many issues, which Rothbard (Man, Economy, and State) and Mises (Human Action)…
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Government economists and propaganda
Q: Larry Summers, interviewed on Bloomberg this week, opined that the reason government economist where unable to predict any of the recessions since WWII was that: the economy is too complex to predict and making such a predation would contribute to pessimism and so might be self-fulfilling. How do you explain their incompetence? A: I…
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Beyond investment advisors and financial managers
Q: How do you differ from other investment advisors and financial managers? A: I do not deal in investment nor do I render standard financial advice. What I am offering is a pure speculation based on the application of economic law. I do not take custody of client funds. It is possible to enter into…
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Speculation for profit, selling commodity options
The practice of option selling is a controversial strategy for commodity option traders to partake in. Many brokerage firms outright forbid the practice; others allow it, but there are often strings attached. However, there are a limited number of brokerage services that recognize despite the challenges of option selling, it likely offers the highest long-term…