Wave count and gold price

surfing waves natural - wave count

Q; Do you have a opinion on where in the wave count we are for gold?
A: It sure is amazing that none of the hotshot “experts’ could see that there were only 3 waves (not 5) off the December lows, and that wave 3 was shorter than wave 1. So we have the classical definition of a 4th wave in an ongoing bear market. So yes, I agree that we will take out the 1049.40 low (2nd fix, 12/17/15) and probably dip well below 1000 as well. However, since we may already be in the third of the fifth of the C, the bottom may not be too many weeks (6-7?) away. The only caveat is that the long-term monthly chart of AU looks like it could eventually fall into the 700’s. If the shares make a higher bottom on the next bullion low, we will know that the bear is finally over. That would coincide with the real 8-year and 13-month cycle lows.

Elliott wave principle

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

The Elliott wave principle is a form of technical analysis that traders use to analyze financial market cycles and forecast market trends by identifying extremes in investor psychology, highs and lows in prices, and other collective factors. Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871–1948), a professional accountant, discovered the underlying social principles and developed the analytical tools in the 1930s. He proposed that market prices unfold in specific patterns, which practitioners today call “Elliott waves”, or simply “waves”. Elliott published his theory of market behavior in the book The Wave Principle in 1938, summarized it in a series of articles in Financial World magazine in 1939, and covered it most comprehensively in his final major work, Nature’s Laws: The Secret of the Universe in 1946. Elliott stated that “because man is subject to rhythmical procedure, calculations having to do with his activities can be projected far into the future with a justification and certainty heretofore unattainable.”  The empirical validity of the Elliott Wave Principle remains the subject of debate.

Elliott wave

Description Elliott waves. Bull Market: Left to centre. Bear Market: Right to centre.
Date
Source R.N. Elliott, “The Basis of the Wave Principle,” October 1940.
Author Masur
Permission
(Reusing this file)
GFDL

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