Global Capital. Clear Intelligence.
Q: Do you use fractal geometry? Could you update us on the wave pattern recognition you’re looking for to verify the end of the bear market in gold? Do you look at volume, momentum indicators, gaps, moving averages, etc.? A: I look at all of that, but none of it is controlling. Wave pattern recognition … Read more
Q: Your short selling maven activity has, on at least 3 occasions, made the front pages of the North American financial press. Twice to the front page of Barrons, the Wall Street Journal Company’s weekly. Do you expect to get any press now and how much of what is in the movie “The Big Short” … Read more
Q: Are you turned off by the zero sum and negative nature of market speculation? Especially short selling? A: No. It is only a zero sum game for the speculators involved. For the market economy, it is a win win. The price signals sent by the changes caused by the nature of market speculation are … Read more
Q: Is Elon Musk a hero? The mind behind Tesla Motors (TSLA), SolarCity (SCTY), and SpaceX — founded in 2002 by Tesla Motors and not yet public — certainly is to early investors. Will he be their hero tomorrow? A: It’s unlikely. Musk has done a brilliant job as stock promoter. The rest is still … Read more
Q: Does Amazon (AMZN) qualify for the Fixed System Short List No. 2? A: Yes, it qualifies but it isn’t on just yet. I’m currently reviewing a lot of options and waiting for the completion of a countertrend bear market rally. Q: Do you see any accounting issues with Amazon? A: No more than all … Read more
Q:I understand that you’ve started a second short list. Can you give us more details? A: Yes, the Fixed System Short List #2. Criteria for getting on the list are as follows: A prior price rise greater than 500% A large market capitalization that makes further price rises unlikely to exceed 33% Sufficient opportunity for … Read more
Q: We have had a significant up move in the gold mining shares since the middle of January. I remember your suggesting that for portfolio investors, dollar cost averaging into the shares was a sound strategy. Have you changed your view now? A: No, it is a sound strategy still for anyone looking to acquire … Read more
Regarding Stock Market Capitulation Q: I see that Tesla Motors was down to $148 yesterday (written on Feb 9.) from $211 on January 8, 2016 when you placed it on your short list. That comes out to a 60% rate of return on a retail margin for short selling of 50% in less than a … Read more
The Fixed System Short List TSLA closed February 2, 2016 at $182.78, a drop of $28.22 in just eighteen days. That’s a profit of 26% if your broker requires a 50% retail margin on a short sale, and better than double if you’re trading options, in this case put options. For a portfolio manager, the … Read more