Government economists and propaganda

Q: Larry Summers, interviewed on Bloomberg this week, opined that the reason government economist where unable to predict any of the recessions since WWII was that: the economy is too complex to predict and making such a predation would contribute to pessimism and so might be self-fulfilling. How do you explain their incompetence? A: I … Read more

Beyond investment advisors and financial managers

Q: How do you differ from other investment advisors and financial managers? A: I do not deal in investment nor do I render standard financial advice. What I am offering is a pure speculation based on the application of economic law. I do not take custody of client funds. It is possible to enter into … Read more

Speculation for profit, selling commodity options

The practice of option selling is a controversial strategy for commodity option traders to partake in. Many brokerage firms outright forbid the practice; others allow it, but there are often strings attached. However, there are a limited number of brokerage services that recognize despite the challenges of option selling, it likely offers the highest long-term … Read more

Martin Armstrong and Asset Allocation Models

Can a computer model predict the world economy? MARTIN ARMSTRONG, once a US based trillion dollar financial advisor, developed a computer model based on the number pi and other cyclical theories to predict economic turning points with incredible precision. In the early 80s he established his financial forecasting and advising company Princeton Economics. His forecasts … Read more

What it means when gold sells at a NEGATIVE price

Nearly four months ago on June 2nd, something very unusual happened in Edmonton, Alberta, Canada. The price of propane actually became negative, hitting an unbelievable -0.625 cents per gallon. It’s hard to believe that the price of a productive commodity could become so beat down by the market that producers would practically have to pay … Read more

Compounding and Pyramiding Compared to Capital Protection

This presentation is not a recommendation or solicitation. We will compare different approaches to how $100k could be employed with a common assumption that the price of gold will increase from $1,000 to $1,611, The first approach is to buy and hold gold bullion. The results would be, in USD terms, a profit of $61,100 … Read more