The Economics of Expectations

We are in the throes of a third wave. Instead of buying and selling assets one way (as tangibles) or the other (as symbols) – we increasingly trade in expectations (in other words, we transfer risks). The markets in derivatives (options, futures, indices, swaps, collateralized instruments, and so on) are flourishing. Economies revolve around and … Read more

The Shape of the World in 2020

World in 2020 image via Wikipedia None can foretell the future, and yet the shape of what we face can be shrewdly estimated with enough attention to historical trends; with broad contextual understanding; and with sufficient insight into the character of leaders, their societies, and the structures which define their basis. These estimates will be … Read more

Top 10 Errors Made by Financial Advisors and How to Avoid Them

Financial Advisers can have great opportunities and be real assets to their communities, but they can fall prey to avoidable mistakes. Mistakes 1 through 6 cover ethical concerns and 7 through ten cover business strategy and personal concerns. 1) Making uninformed judgements. In order to stop mistakes, be sure to double check appropriate rates and … Read more

Offshore Investing

One way to diversify your investment portfolio and potentially see bigger returns on your investments is to invest offshore. When choosing to invest offshore you are gaining access to untapped and potentially lucrative markets in countries that many investors would not even consider investing in. There are a number of directions to go when considering … Read more

Investing Advice from the CEO of the Largest Mutual Fund Company

‘The Importance of Being Long-term’: Vanguard’s William McNabb on What’s Ahead for Investors William McNabb became chief executive officer of The Vanguard Group on August 31, 2008 — two weeks before the financial world went into free fall. On the evening of Sunday, September 14, the day Lehman Bros. declared bankruptcy, he was in Washington, … Read more

The Search for a Reserve Currency

Currency, like all forms of abstract value, is based on trust. And trust itself is based – except among the most naïve – on experience, and the repetitive demonstration of fidelity, whether positive or negative. At present, the US dollar, which had experienced a gradual rise during the 20th Century to the position gained well … Read more

Shift of Gas Producers to Oil Investment

SandRidge Energy’s agreement this week to acquire Arena Resources, a producer of conventional oil in West Texas, for $1.6 billion is the latest example of natural gas companies seeking to balance their portfolios with more oil as the two resources decouple in price. Natural gas prices have fallen more than 25% this year to below … Read more

The Monfort Plan

The Monfort Plan (Wiley Finance, April 2010) presents the new architecture of a redefined capitalism. This summary piece introduces the five year action plan and explains why a new architecture may be needed in today’s environment. Today’s capitalism is based on a vintage architecture that dates back to the 1940s and the American effort to … Read more